Earnings and market calendar

The dated posts: earnings previews and results, week-ahead guides, macro release days, monthly calendars, holidays and expiration dates. Each one counts what the stock or the index did on every past instance of the event, with the sources and dates stated, and none of it is a prediction.

65 articles, newest first

NewNov 13, 2026 / 12 min read

Target Earnings November 18, 2026: TGT on 93 Report Days Since 2003

Target reports its third quarter on Wednesday, November 18, 2026, before the open, with the call at 8:00 AM ET. Every Target report day since 2003, 93 of them from the SEC filings and adjusted bars: 48 up and 45 down, a median swing of 3.5% and 5.2% since 2020, thirty 5%+ days and eleven 10%+ days, 40 of 41 big gaps held to the close, November the weakest month at 9 up and 14 down, a run-in that predicted nothing, and Walmart, Costco and the retail ETF measured on the same mornings.

NewNov 12, 2026 / 16 min read

Home Depot Earnings November 17, 2026: HD on 93 Report Days

Home Depot reports its third quarter before the open on Tuesday, November 17, with consensus at $3.83 to $3.86 against $3.74 a year ago and the stock up 24% from its October low. We pulled every earnings report since 2003 from SEC filings and measured the report day: 47 up, 46 down, a median swing of 2.3% that is 1.3% since 2023, a gap that held on 22 of 23 big-gap days, Lowe's moving with it 73 times out of 93, and a record whose big days have come after slides, not rallies.

NewNov 12, 2026 / 14 min read

Walmart Earnings November 19, 2026: WMT on 93 Report Days

Walmart reports its third quarter before the open on Thursday, November 19, guiding $0.62 to $0.64 against a $0.64 consensus, with the stock up 8% in a month after two report-day drops of 7% and 9% this year. We pulled every earnings report since 2003 from SEC filings and measured the report day: 46 up, 47 down, a median swing of 2.4% that has become 4.5% since 2023, a gap that held on 28 of 29 big-gap days, Costco moving with it every time it mattered, and a record that leans against a run-up like this one.

NewNov 12, 2026 / 13 min read

Disney Earnings November 17, 2026: DIS on 91 Report Days

Disney closes its 53-week fiscal 2026 before the open on Tuesday, November 17, with the stock at a 52-week high and consensus at $1.69 against $1.11 a year ago. We pulled every earnings report since 2003 from SEC filings and measured the reaction day: 39 up, 51 down, a median swing of 2.6% that has grown to 6.9% since 2023, an opening gap that held to the close on 37 of 40 big-gap days, and November as the only report month with more ups than downs.

NewNov 11, 2026 / 12 min read

Applied Materials Earnings November 12, 2026: AMAT on 93 Report Days

Applied Materials closes its fiscal year on Thursday, November 12, after the close, against its own $10.25 billion revenue guide and a stock 45% below its June record. We pulled every earnings report since 2003 from SEC filings and measured the next session: 48 up, 45 down, a median swing of 2.5%, a gap that reversed one time in three, and a record that has turned negative since 2020.

NewNov 11, 2026 / 11 min read

October 2026 PPI Report: What the S&P 500 Did on 390 PPI Days

The October 2026 Producer Price Index comes out Friday, November 13 at 8:30 AM ET, after September's 1.3% jump, with a 0.4% consensus and a Fed increase already priced for December. We measured the S&P 500 and the 10-year yield on all 390 PPI days since 1994, by year and against CPI days: a PPI day has been an ordinary session, and the two years inflation ran the market were CPI's, not PPI's.

NewNov 10, 2026 / 7 min read

Nebius Earnings November 12, 2026: What NBIS Did on Every Report Day Since Its 2024 Return (8 Reports)

Nebius reports its third quarter before the U.S. open on Thursday, November 12, against its own $3.0 billion to $3.4 billion revenue target for 2026. We pulled all eight results releases since its 2024 return to Nasdaq from SEC filings: six up days, two down, three moves of 15% or more, and an opening gap that reversed by the close half the time.

NewNov 10, 2026 / 8 min read

Cisco Earnings November 12, 2026: What CSCO Did the Day After Every Report Since 2003 (93 Reports)

Cisco reports its first quarter of fiscal 2027 on Thursday, November 12, after the close, against its own $18.0 billion to $18.2 billion revenue outlook. We pulled every earnings report since 2003 from SEC filings and measured the next session: 46 up, 47 down, a median swing of 4.8%, and a November record that has leaned lower.

NewNov 9, 2026 / 5 min read

Is the Stock Market Open on New Year's Eve 2026? Hours, 2027 Calendar

New Year's Eve 2026 and New Year's Day 2027 market hours, the first trading day of 2027, settlement and tax-date notes, the full 2027 NYSE holiday calendar, and the S&P 500 on every last and first session of the year since 1950.

NewNov 9, 2026 / 6 min read

Is the Stock Market Open on Christmas Eve 2026? Hours and History

The 2026 Christmas Eve early close, Christmas Day, New Year's hours and the 2027 Saturday case, what a 1 PM close does to orders, and the S&P 500 on every Christmas Eve session since 1950.

Nov 3, 2026 / 9 min read

Fed Meeting December 8-9, 2026: What the S&P 500 Did After Every December Fed Decision Since 1994 (Hikes, Cuts and Holds)

The Fed's last meeting of 2026 lands on December 9 with a new dot plot and, as of late October, a rate hike priced in. We measured the S&P 500 on every December decision day since 1994, 32 of them, and what it did the next day, the week after and into year-end, split by hike, cut and hold. The decision day is usually quiet. The split by decision is not.

Nov 2, 2026 / 11 min read

Santa Claus Rally 2026: Dates (December 24 to January 5) and What the S&P 500 Did in All 76 Windows Since 1950

The Santa Claus rally is the last five trading days of December and the first two of January: this year December 24, 28, 29, 30, 31 and January 4 and 5. We measured every window since 1950. The S&P 500 rose in 57 of 76, median +1.2%, but it has now missed three years running for the first time in the record, and the lore about what a miss means for the year has not held up.

Nov 2, 2026 / 11 min read

Stock Market Week Ahead November 9-13, 2026: CPI, Veterans Day, and What Cisco, Applied Materials and Rocket Lab Did on All 154 Report Days

A quieter week after the megacaps: October CPI on Tuesday the 10th, the bond market closed for Veterans Day on Wednesday while stocks trade, PPI on Friday, and three after-the-close reporters. Rocket Lab Monday, Cisco and Applied Materials Thursday. We measured all 154 of their report days since 2010: Cisco moves 4.8% at the median and its gaps hold, Applied Materials has closed down on 9 of 14 reports since 2023, and Rocket Lab has moved 10% or more on 7 of 21.

Nov 2, 2026 / 12 min read

Retail Earnings Week November 17-19, 2026: What Walmart, Home Depot, Target, Lowe's and TJX Did on All 336 Report Days Since 2010

The big retailers report in one three-day stretch the week before Thanksgiving: Home Depot on Tuesday, Lowe's, Target and TJX on Wednesday, Walmart on Thursday. We measured every report day since 2010 for the five, 336 in all. Target is the mover (median swing 3.9%, four of its biggest ten days are Novembers), Home Depot the quietest (1.9%), and TJX has closed up on 45 of 67.

Nov 1, 2026 / 14 min read

Stock Market Week Ahead November 2-6, 2026: What AMD, Palantir, Qualcomm, Uber, McDonald's and Pfizer Did on All 338 Report Days, Plus Election Day and the Jobs Report

Apple and Palantir report Monday, AMD on Election Day, Qualcomm, Arm and Uber on Wednesday, and the October jobs report closes the week on Friday. We measured the reaction session for all 322 earnings reports the six main US filers have made since 2010: Palantir's median swing is 12.4%, AMD's 7.2%, McDonald's 1.7%.

Nov 1, 2026 / 8 min read

Nvidia Earnings November 17, 2026: What NVDA Did the Day After Every Report Since 2010 (67 Reports)

Nvidia reports its third quarter of fiscal 2027 on Tuesday, November 17, after the close, against its own $108 billion revenue outlook. We pulled every scheduled report since 2010 from SEC filings and measured the next session: 37 up, 30 down, a median swing of 4.9%, and a gap-then-fade pattern in 9 of the last 12.

Oct 30, 2026 / 7 min read

November 2026 Stock Market Calendar: Every Date and Time (ET), and What the S&P 500 Did in Every November Since 2016

The midterms on November 3, the jobs report on the 6th, CPI on the 10th, Nvidia on the 17th, Fed minutes on the 18th, GDP and PCE on the 25th, and a 1 PM close on the 27th, each checked against the agency or company that publishes it. Plus what the S&P 500 did in every November since 2016.

Oct 30, 2026 / 7 min read

Thanksgiving Week 2026 Stock Market Hours: Closed November 26, 1 PM Close on Black Friday, and What the S&P 500 Did Every Thanksgiving Week Since 2016

The market is closed Thursday November 26 and closes at 1 PM Friday November 27. We measured all ten Thanksgiving weeks since 2016: the half day trades at 42% of normal volume, the week finished higher eight times, and the one bad Black Friday was Omicron.

Oct 29, 2026 / 6 min read

October 2026 Jobs Report: 165,000 Jobs Added, Unemployment 4.1%, and What the S&P 500 Did on 127 Report Days

The October 2026 jobs report is out: 165,000 jobs added against 59,000 expected, unemployment down to 4.1%, August and September revised up 84,000. Yields rose and December hike odds passed 76%. The full table, what the S&P 500 did on 126 prior report days, and what changed.

Oct 28, 2026 / 11 min read

October 2026 CPI: Up 0.4%, Core 0.3%, What the S&P 500 Did

October CPI rose 0.4% on the month and core prices 0.3%, each a tenth above forecast, and the BLS published no 12-month rate. The S&P 500 opened 0.49% lower and closed down 0.38%; we set the day against all 222 CPI release days since 2008.

Oct 27, 2026 / 7 min read

Is the Stock Market Open on Veterans Day 2026? Yes, and Here Is What the S&P 500 Did on Every Veterans Day Since 1993

Stocks trade a full session on Wednesday, November 11, 2026, while the bond market, banks and settlement are closed. On the 33 Veterans Days since 1993 the S&P 500 was up 16 and down 17, with a median move of minus 0.03%, volume below normal on 25 of them and an intraday range two thirds of an ordinary day's. Hours, what the closed bond market changes, and the full session-by-session record.

Oct 27, 2026 / 8 min read

Apple Earnings November 2, 2026: What AAPL Did the Day After Every Report Since 2009, and Why October Reports Are Different

Apple's 68 quarterly reports since October 2009, each with the opening gap, the next-session close, and the week and month after: a 3.9% average move, higher 51% of the time, and an October report that has been the weakest of the four quarters (higher 6 times in 17). Plus the one precedent for a new CEO's first report, Tim Cook's in 2011, ahead of John Ternus's on November 2.

Oct 26, 2026 / 8 min read

Anthropic Filed for an IPO. Here Is What the 25 Biggest Tech IPOs Since 2012 Did on Day One, One Month In, and a Year Later

Anthropic filed its S-1 on October 26, 2026 for a Nasdaq listing under ANT. Across the 25 largest US tech IPOs and direct listings since Facebook, the median first-day close was +37% above the offer price, but the median opening print was already +38% above it, 14 of 25 closed day one below the open, and a year later the median was -3% with 10 of 25 under their offer price.

Oct 24, 2026 / 8 min read

Microsoft, Alphabet and Amazon Report October 28 and 29, Two Hours After the Fed: What Each Stock Did the Day After Every Report Since 2015

Microsoft and Alphabet report Wednesday, October 28, after the close, two hours after the Fed decision; Amazon follows Thursday. Since 2015 the day-after move has averaged 4.2%, 4.3% and 6.2% respectively, all three fade an opening gap more often than not, and the nine prior weeks with a Fed decision in the middle split five up, four down for the S&P 500.

Oct 23, 2026 / 8 min read

Triple Witching Dates for 2026 and 2027, and What the S&P 500 Did on All 107 Triple Witching Days Since 2000

The 2026 dates are March 20, June 18, September 18 and December 18; the 2027 dates are March 19, June 17, September 17 and December 17, with the June expirations on Thursdays because of Juneteenth. On all 107 triple witching days since 2000, SPY closed higher 47.7% of the time on volume 1.23 times normal, and the reason raw data shows it falling almost every time is the dividend.

Oct 21, 2026 / 8 min read

Tesla Q3 2026 Results: Flat Revenue, a Margin Rebound, Profit Down 56%, and What Tesla Stock Did the Day After Every Report Since 2011

Tesla reported $28.05 billion of revenue, $0.48 of adjusted EPS against $0.45 expected, an automotive gross margin back at 18.5% and operating income down 56% on AI spending. Thursday decides the reaction, so we measured the day after all 42 Tesla reports since 2011: median move 5.9%, up 45% of the time, the opening gap held through the close about half the time, and the first day's direction persisted for a week far more often than it reversed. What was reported, the record, and how to size the morning.

Oct 21, 2026 / 8 min read

Super Micro Jumps 9.5% on a Preliminary $19 Billion Quarter: Every 10% Up Day in SMCI's History and What Came Next

Super Micro pre-announced September-quarter revenue of $18.5 to $19.5 billion against $14.5 to $15.5 billion guided, with margins above plan, and the stock closed up 9.5%. The full report is November 3. We measured all 91 days the stock rose 10% or more since its 2007 listing: the median next week was -1.1%, a month later +1.5%, and all ten of this year's were lower a week on. What the pre-announcement says, how this differs from January 2024, and how to hold a stock that gaps like this.

Oct 21, 2026 / 7 min read

P&G Earnings on October 22, 2026: What to Expect, and What P&G Stock Did on Every Earnings Day Since 2010

Procter & Gamble reports Thursday, October 22 before the open, with Wall Street expecting about $22.8 billion of sales and core earnings down about 6% on higher costs. We matched all 67 of P&G's earnings reports since 2010 to the stock's move that day: a median of 2.6%, up 60% of the time, only 3 moves of 5% or more and none of 10%. The fiscal 2027 guide, the volume-versus-price question, every October report, and why a 2% down day on P&G has tended to keep drifting.

Oct 20, 2026 / 8 min read

Intel Q3 2026 Earnings on October 29: What to Expect, and What Intel Stock Did the Day After Every Report Since 2010

Intel reports Thursday, October 29 after the close, up about 149% this year and 35% below its June high. We matched all 70 of Intel's earnings reports since 2010 to the stock's next-day move: a median of 4.1%, but 8.5% since 2024 with the stock falling after 8 of the last 11, a 26% drop in 2024 and a 23.6% gain this April. The guide, the three numbers that decide Friday, every October reaction, and why Intel's bad earnings days have tended to keep going.

Oct 19, 2026 / 7 min read

GM Q3 2026 Earnings: The Beat, the $20B Buyback, the 6.8% Drop, and What GM Stock Did on Every Earnings Day Since 2011

Updated October 21: GM beat on revenue ($50.0B), EPS ($3.70 vs $3.60) and EBIT-adjusted ($4.1B), narrowed its full-year guide to $14.5 to $15.5B and approved a $20B buyback, and the stock fell 6.8% on the day, its biggest earnings-day drop since 2021. The original preview and the record of all 66 earnings days since 2011 follow.

Oct 18, 2026 / 8 min read

Stock Market Week Ahead, October 19 to 23, 2026: Netflix, GM, Tesla, Meta and P&G Report, and How Far Each Stock Moves When They Do

Updated October 21: GM beat and fell 6.8%; Netflix beat, cut its ad outlook and fell 5.3%. Five big reports in four days, a light data week and a silent Fed. We measured the next-day move after every earnings report since 2010 for all five: Netflix moves a median 9.2% (30 moves of 10% or more), Tesla 5.9%, Meta 5.6%, GM 3.5% and P&G 2.6%. The schedule with times, what each report turns on, the data releases, and how to size and hold through the week.

Oct 17, 2026 / 9 min read

Meta Q3 2026 Earnings on October 21: What the Stock Did After Every One of Its 57 Reports Since 2012

Meta reports after the close on Wednesday, October 21, with revenue expected near the top of its $61 to $64 billion guide and every eye on capex. We measured META's next-day move after all 57 quarterly reports since the 2012 IPO: median 5.6%, 17 moves of 10% or more, October reports down six years in a row, morning gaps that fade more often than they extend, and what big moves did in the month after. Plus how to hold or trade it without gambling.

Oct 16, 2026 / 9 min read

Fed Blackout Period Starts October 17: What the S&P 500 Did in the Two Weeks Before All 213 Fed Decisions Since 2000

The Fed goes quiet from October 17 to 29 ahead of its October 27-28 meeting. We measured the S&P 500 before, on and after every scheduled decision since 2000: the ten days before are an ordinary two weeks (60% up, same as any window), decision day is a coin flip with one-in-three odds of a 1% move, and 2026 has closed lower on all six decision days. What to do with that if you trade by rules.

Oct 15, 2026 / 8 min read

Gold Is 22% Below Its January Record: Every Gold Bear Market Since 2000 and How Long Each Took to Recover

Gold fell a third straight day on the hot CPI print, the strong dollar and 5% yields. We measured every drawdown in gold futures since 2000: 4 bear markets of 20% or more, a median 877 days from record to record, and 68% of all days spent at least 5% under water. Where the 2026 decline fits, and what ended the last four.

Oct 14, 2026 / 8 min read

Oracle Fell 9% and CoreWeave 16% on AI Debt Fears: Every 8% Oracle Drop Since 1986 and What Came 60 Days Later

The bond market, not earnings, took Oracle down 8.8% and CoreWeave 15.5% on October 14 as yields on AI debt jumped. We measured all 81 Oracle one-day drops of 8% or more since 1986: higher 60 days later about two times in three, with a median 11.3% gain, except the last four, which were all followed by lower prices.

Oct 14, 2026 / 8 min read

Chip Stocks Fell 4.5% on a Hot CPI Day While ASML Said Demand Will Outrun Its Factories Through 2028: What Happened After the Last 107 Chip Selloffs

A hot September CPI sent yields up and chips down 4.5% on October 14, the same morning ASML posted a record quarter and said AI demand will exceed its supply through 2028. We measured all 107 previous 4% chip selloffs since 2011: what followed, and why 2026 is already the most volatile year on record for the sector.

Oct 13, 2026 / 7 min read

September 2026 Retail Sales on October 15: What to Expect, and Why the Report Has Rarely Moved the S&P 500 in 308 Releases

The September retail sales report lands Thursday at 8:30 AM Eastern, one day after CPI. August jumped 1.2%; the consensus is 0.3%. We measured the S&P 500 on all 308 release days since 2000: a median 0.58% move, the same as any day, with direction split 157 to 150.

Oct 13, 2026 / 8 min read

TSMC Q3 2026 Earnings on October 15: A Record Quarter Is Already Known, So Here Is What TSM and Nvidia Did on All 39 Report Days Since 2017

TSMC reports Thursday at 2 AM Eastern with a record quarter already visible in its monthly sales and the stock 9% off its high. We measured TSM and Nvidia on all 39 report days since 2017: a median 3.1% move, up 24 of 39, and a sympathy move in Nvidia that is more reliable on the bad days.

Oct 11, 2026 / 8 min read

Netflix Q3 2026 Earnings on October 20: What the Stock Did After Each of Its Last 39 Reports

Netflix reports after the close on October 20. We measured the stock the day after all 39 of its reports since 2017: a median 7.3% move, down 24 of 39, and a month-after pattern that answers the hold-or-sell question.

Oct 11, 2026 / 8 min read

Fed Meeting October 27-28, 2026: What Stocks Did After Every Pause (and Every Follow-Up Hike) Since 1994

The October 27-28 meeting is the first since the September hike, and futures price an 82% chance of a pause. We measured all 50 Fed meetings since 1994 that came right after a hike: the Fed paused at 20, hiked again at 30, and the S&P 500 was flat on the day either way. The months after a pause were better, except four times.

Oct 11, 2026 / 7 min read

Options Expiration October 16, 2026: What the S&P 500 Actually Does on Expiration Fridays

Friday, October 16 is the monthly options expiration, and the folklore says it is a wild day. We counted every expiration Friday since 2000: median move +0.04%, higher 52% of the time, fewer 1% days than average. The week around it is more interesting than the day.

Oct 9, 2026 / 9 min read

Hurricane Isaias and the Stock Market: What Stocks, Oil and Gasoline Did After 13 Gulf Hurricanes

Isaias lands tonight as a Category 3 with two-thirds of Gulf oil shut in. We measured every Category 3+ Gulf landfall since 2005: the S&P 500 rose the next day after 11 of 13, and gasoline futures fell after 9 of 13. The two exceptions flooded refineries.

Oct 9, 2026 / 5 min read

Brent Oil Above $100 (October 13 Close: $105.69): What the S&P 500 Did After Every Crossing Since 2007

Brent crude settled at $105.69 on October 13 and has held above $100 for two weeks while the S&P 500 sits within a percent of its record. In the three earlier crossings since 2007, oil kept rising and stocks were lower six months later. Why this one is different so far.

Oct 8, 2026 / 8 min read

Consumer Sentiment Fell to 46.3 in October 2026 While Stocks Sit at Records: What It Means

Four of the five lowest consumer sentiment readings since 1952 are from 2026, and Friday's preliminary October number is expected near 48. Stocks rose after every past sentiment trough, but every one of those troughs came in a bear market. This one arrives with the S&P 500 near a record high. Our own computation of what that history does and does not say.

Oct 7, 2026 / 7 min read

Bank Earnings October 13-14, 2026: JPMorgan Missed, Goldman Beat, Wells Fargo and Citi Fell. The Results, and What Comes Wednesday

The big banks reported October 13: JPMorgan missed on a $658 million securities loss, Goldman Sachs beat on a 72% jump in equities trading, Citigroup beat and still fell 5.6%, Wells Fargo's revenue came up short. The numbers, the closes, and what Bank of America and Morgan Stanley need to show Wednesday.

Oct 6, 2026 / 8 min read

Midterm Elections and the Stock Market: What 19 Elections Since 1950 Say About November 3, 2026

The S&P 500 has risen in the 12 months after all 19 midterms since 1950, median gain 14.5%. We ran the numbers ourselves, and found the one reason 2026 does not fit the pattern: the pre-election drawdown never happened.

Oct 5, 2026 / 8 min read

Fed Minutes, October 7, 2026: "Most" Officials Expected Another Hike by Year End. What the Minutes Said and How Markets Reacted

The September meeting minutes are out. Most participants expected one more rate hike in 2026, inflation risks were skewed to the upside, and oil, AI investment and tariffs were named. Stocks slipped 0.2%. The full read, point by point against our preview.

Oct 4, 2026 / 7 min read

September 2026 ISM Services PMI: 54.9, Prices at a Four-Year High, Employment Back Above 50 (Next Report November 4)

The September ISM Services PMI came in at 54.9 against a 55.1 forecast. Prices rose to 74.0, the highest since July 2022, while employment returned to 50.1. What the split means for the Fed, and the next report on November 4.

Oct 4, 2026 / 7 min read

Is the US in Stagflation? November 2026: GDP 3.4%, Inflation 3.7%, 165,000 Jobs, Next to the 1970s

Stagflation is high inflation with weak growth and rising unemployment. The November 2026 numbers: GDP growing 3.4%, CPI at 3.7%, October hiring up 165,000, unemployment 4.1%. One of the three boxes is ticking. Which one, and what to watch.

Oct 3, 2026 / 5 min read

Is the Stock Market Open on Columbus Day 2026? Yes, but Bonds, Banks, and Settlement Are Closed

Stocks trade a full session on Monday, October 12, 2026, while the bond market, banks, and settlement are closed. What that split does to a trading day, ten years of Columbus Day S&P 500 moves, and the rest of the 2026 holiday calendar.

Oct 3, 2026 / 6 min read

CPI September 2026: 3.7% Headline, Core 2.6%, Both Above Forecast (Released October 14)

The September 2026 CPI report is out: headline inflation 3.7% from a year earlier, up 0.6% on the month, and core 2.6%, both a tenth above forecast. Gasoline rose 9.1% and energy 5.2%. What the numbers say about the October 27-28 Fed decision and how the market reacted.

Oct 2, 2026 / 7 min read

Tesla Q3 2026 Deliveries Beat at 486,532: What It Means Before Earnings on October 21

Tesla delivered 486,532 vehicles in Q3 2026, about 24,500 above consensus, and the stock rose 5%. Why a delivery beat does not settle the October 21 earnings report, what to watch, and how to hold a stock through earnings without gambling.

Oct 2, 2026 / 7 min read

Bad News, Rising Stocks: Why the Weak September 2026 Jobs Report Sent the Market Up

The economy added 29,000 jobs in September against forecasts near 90,000, unemployment rose to 4.2%, and stocks rallied. Why a weak jobs report lifted the market, the revision most coverage skipped, and when bad news stops being good news.

Sep 30, 2026 / 6 min read

October 2026 Stock Market Calendar: Every Date That Can Move Your Portfolio (Jobs, CPI, Earnings, Fed, GDP)

The September jobs report on Oct 2, CPI on Oct 14, bank earnings from Oct 13, the Fed on Oct 27-28, and GDP plus PCE on Oct 29, all verified against the agencies that publish them. What each means with the 10-year above 5%, and how to size around it.

Sep 27, 2026 / 9 min read

Earnings Season 2026 (Q3): Key Dates, What Analysts Expect, and the First Bank Results

Q3 2026 earnings season started October 8 and the banks reported October 13: JPMorgan missed on a securities loss, Goldman beat on a 72% jump in equities trading, Wells Fargo and Citi fell. Dates, what analysts expect, and why this quarter is different.

Sep 25, 2026 / 8 min read

Q4 2026 Stock Market Outlook: The 5 Forces That Will Decide the Quarter

Q4 2026 opens October 1 with record valuations, a live Fed hike debate on October 27-28, slowing job growth, $100 oil, and the strongest seasonal quarter on record. What history says, the dates that matter, and how to position without predicting.

Sep 24, 2026 / 7 min read

September 2026 Jobs Report: 29,000 Jobs Added, Unemployment at 4.2%, and What It Means

The September 2026 jobs report showed 29,000 jobs added against forecasts near 90,000, unemployment up to 4.2%, and 60,000 jobs revised away from July and August. The results, and how to read any jobs report.

Sep 22, 2026 / 7 min read

Will the Fed Raise Rates Again in October? What to Watch Before the 27-28 Meeting

One more 2026 hike is penciled in; October 27-28 or December is the debate. What makes this meeting unusual (no dot plot), the data that decides it starting with September 30 PCE, and how to invest into the suspense.

Sep 20, 2026 / 8 min read

Trump Meets Xi on September 24: How US-China Summits Move Stocks and How to Trade the Week

Trump hosts Xi in Washington September 24 with the tariff truce expiring November 10. What is on the table, which sectors swing hardest on US-China headlines, and how to trade summit week without gambling on the outcome.

Sep 20, 2026 / 7 min read

Government Shutdown Averted Until December 11: What Shutdowns Actually Do to Stocks

No shutdown on October 1: Congress passed a stopgap through December 11, 2026. What the history of 20 funding lapses says about stocks, why markets mostly shrug, and how to prepare for the December rerun.

Sep 18, 2026 / 8 min read

The Fed Just Raised Rates to 4%: What the September 2026 Hike Means for Your Portfolio

The Fed hiked 25bps to 3.75-4% on September 16, its first increase since 2023, and the dot plot signals one more this year. Why stocks fell on an expected hike, what changed for cash, and the disciplined trader's response.

Sep 12, 2026 / 8 min read

The Fed Dot Plot, Explained: A Trader's Guide to the September 2026 FOMC Decision

The Fed decides rates Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 2 pm ET, and the updated dot plot may move markets more than the decision. What the dots mean, why this meeting is so uncertain, and how traders prepare.

Sep 9, 2026 / 8 min read

Triple Witching on September 18, 2026: What It Is and How to Trade It Calmly

Triple witching hits September 18, 2026: index futures, index options, and stock options all expire at once. Here is what actually happens, why volume triples, and how rules-based traders stay calm.

Sep 4, 2026 / 7 min read

Good News, Falling Stocks: Why the Blowout August Jobs Report Sank the Market

The U.S. added 162,000 jobs in August 2026, triple the estimate, and stocks fell anyway. The good-news-is-bad-news paradox explained with today's live example, and the rules disciplined traders set for data days.

Sep 3, 2026 / 8 min read

Fed Rate Hike in September 2026? What It Would Mean for Stock Traders

Futures price meaningful odds of a September 2026 Fed rate hike after a divided July hold. How hikes hit stocks, what a hold would mean, and the rules disciplined traders set before September 16.